国产热热热精品,亚洲视频久久】日韩,三级婷婷在线久久,99人妻精品视频,精品九热人人肉肉在线,AV东京热一区二区,91po在线视频观看,久久激情宗合,青青草黄色手机视频

Global EditionASIA 中文雙語(yǔ)Fran?ais
Business
Home / Business / Policies

Monetary policy, markets seen stable this year despite Fed Reserve actions

By SHI JING in Shanghai | China Daily | Updated: 2023-01-06 09:05
Share
Share - WeChat
A Chinese clerk counts renminbi yuan banknotes in Nantong, East China's Jiangsu province. [Photo/IC]

Although China will not be completely immune to the global market's higher volatility this year due to recent US Federal Reserve tightening, China's monetary policy and its capital market will be relatively stable compared to other markets given the country's firmer economic recovery outlook, said experts.

Officials from the Fed expect higher interest rates to remain in place until the country's inflation is on a sustained downward path to 2 percent, according to minutes released on Wednesday from the Fed's December meeting.

The minutes noted that no Federal Open Market Committee members expect rate cuts in 2023.

The Fed's anti-inflationary stance derives from the lack of wiggle room left for it to adjust its monetary policies, especially during the first six months of this year, said Ethan Wang, head of investment strategy for wealth management at Standard Chartered China.

Using Standard Chartered's calculations, the interest rate in the United States is likely to touch 5.25 percent according to the bank's highest estimation, and is likely to drop to 4.5 percent by the end of this year.

While interest rates will remain high in the US, any hike levels will likely be lower. In this sense, the US dollar will weaken, which will be translated into capital inflows into emerging markets, said Wang.

Fed tightening and the likelihood of contracted consumption may lead to economic recession in the US. Therefore, Standard Chartered holds an underweight rating on US stocks. But it holds an overweight rating on Asian equities excluding Japan, mainly as A-share company profitability will improve amid China's economic recovery, explained Wang.

Xu Mingqi, a researcher at the Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences, said that the Chinese financial market this year — one growing in global importance — will show higher volatility due to some economies' solvency difficulties after rounds of interest rate hikes.

But China will continue to adopt a stable and relatively relaxed monetary policy this year, with more room for further adjustment compared with 2022, said Lian Ping, chief economist at Zhixin Investment.

China's economic recovery is likely with its GDP growth expected to reach 5 percent, Lian said. Inflation will be less steep in 2023, which provides room for further monetary easing in China. The anticipated slowdown in US monetary tightening will also point to the possibility of further relaxation in China, including lowering the reserve requirement ratio when necessary.

Shao Yu, chief economist at Orient Securities, said that a relaxed policy environment in China and further tightening elsewhere may be the theme affecting the capital market in 2023. The Chinese stock market will embrace opportunities against such a backdrop.

China's economic recovery, which will be bolstered by further optimized COVID-19 control measures and stimulus packages, will provide an ideal investment environment for Chinese shares. The investment value of Chinese equities is especially noticeable in light of relaxed liquidity and companies' improved profitability, Shao said.

Experts' confidence in Chinese assets is proven by the A-share market's bullish performance on Thursday. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index gained 1.01 percent to close at 3155.22 while the Shenzhen Component Index jumped 2.13 percent to close at 11332.01. The technology-focused ChiNext in Shenzhen soared 2.76 percent.

Likewise, US-listed Chinese companies rallied on Wednesday, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index — a tracker of Chinese companies trading on US exchanges — closing 8.57 percent higher.

Top
BACK TO THE TOP
English
Copyright 1994 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
CLOSE
 
离岛区| 大洼县| 法库县| 盐山县| 永寿县| 克什克腾旗| 芦溪县| 凤阳县| 屏边| 沈丘县| 揭阳市| 鄂尔多斯市| 泸水县| 准格尔旗| 隆化县| 庆云县| 清徐县| 江口县| 汽车| 清新县| 西宁市| 五寨县| 昌宁县| 长兴县| 泾川县| 河北省| 惠安县| 团风县| 陇南市| 长岭县| 富锦市| 宜城市| 大关县| 嘉黎县| 海兴县| 天镇县| 垣曲县| 阳原县| 曲沃县| 固安县| 策勒县|