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Relationship matures into cornerstone of security and stability

By Warwick Powell | China Daily Global | Updated: 2026-05-20 09:08
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Russian President Vladimir Putin's visit to Beijing on Tuesday and Wednesday marks the 25th anniversary of the signing of the 2001 Treaty of Good-Neighborliness and Friendly Cooperation, which underscores a relationship that has matured into a strategic cornerstone of Eurasian — and by extension, global — security and stability.

Far from a mere tactical partnership born of convenience, the Russia-China partnership is deepening across economic, energy, security and multilateral dimensions, driven by shared interests in an emergent, yet unstable, multipolar world.

At its foundation lies robust economic complementarity and interdependence. Bilateral trade has expanded dramatically over the past decade. It surged after 2022, reaching a record $244.8 billion in 2024 before moderating to approximately $228.1 billion in 2025 amid shifting global energy prices and demand adjustments, according to statistics from China's General Administration of Customs. This represented a slight contraction of about 6.8 percent year-on-year, marking the first decrease in five years after a record-breaking period fueled by post-2022 Western sanctions.

Russia supplies critical energy resources. Crude oil exports to China exceeded 108 million metric tons in 2024, while China provides manufactured goods, vehicles and technology. Chinese exports to Russia include cars, electronics and machinery.

Infrastructure linkages reinforce these ties. The Power of Siberia pipeline has already transformed energy flows, and Power of Siberia 2 — with its potential annual capacity of 50 billion cubic meters via Mongolia — would promise further integration.

Investment flows, while fluctuating, demonstrate commitment. Cumulative Chinese direct investment in Russia has been estimated in the tens of billions of yuans, with sectors such as energy, manufacturing and logistics being prominent. Joint projects span high-tech, agriculture and aerospace.

People-to-people exchanges have increased. Tourism is rebounding strongly. Chinese visitors accounted for over 50 percent of foreign tourist trips to Russia in 2025 (around 834,000 trips), while Russian outbound travel to China rose 33.6 percent, according to Interfax Information Services Group. Mutual flows are projected to grow significantly.

Educational ties are equally promising. In the 2024-25 academic year, over 56,000 Chinese students studied in Russia and more than 21,000 Russians in China, Valery Falkov, Russian minister of science and higher education, told the media last year. Both sides aim for 100,000 total exchanges by 2030, supported by over 200 joint programs, he said. These exchanges foster mutual understanding and build the next generation of professionals invested in the partnership.

Security and energy cooperation through the Shanghai Cooperation Organization forms a vital pillar. Originally focused on countering terrorism, extremism and separatism, the SCO has evolved into a comprehensive platform for Eurasian stability. The 2025 Tianjin Summit marked a significant expansion of its remit, particularly in energy and development finance.

China drove the launch of dedicated SCO energy and green-industry cooperation platforms, alongside commitments to jointly add tens of gigawatts of solar and wind power capacity across member states over the next five years. Beijing pledged 2 billion yuan ($294 million) in grants for 2025 and 10 billion yuan in loans over three years to support these initiatives. The SCO Development Bank, agreed to at the Tianjin summit with seed capital and loans pledged by Beijing, is an emerging multilateral institution championed by China to fund regional infrastructure and provide an alternative to Western-led financial systems.

This builds on longstanding efforts. SCO frameworks have long facilitated coordination on oil, gas and resource development among countries like Russia, Kazakhstan and China. Traditional hydrocarbon projects — pipelines, exploration and joint infrastructure — now sit alongside a growing emphasis on renewables and green transitions, creating a balanced, resilient energy architecture for Eurasia. The Tianjin outcomes further institutionalize this collaboration, enabling financed cross-border projects enhancing connectivity and reducing vulnerabilities. Russia and China, as western and eastern bookends of the SCO, provide the strategic depth and resources to drive this consolidation, turning Central Asia and beyond into a zone of coordinated development rather than competition.

Multilaterally, BRICS and the SCO enable the quiet advancement of alternatives to Western-dominated institutions: National currency settlements, development financing and coordinated positions on global governance.

In a world of flux — shifting deterrence architectures, Middle East reconfiguration and Eurasian integration — the Russia-China strategic partnership provides continuity and predictability. It does not seek dominance but equilibrium — a stable Eurasia as the foundation for global security. By anchoring economic flows, diversified energy security through both traditional and emerging sources via SCO mechanisms and multilateral forums, this partnership mitigates instability on its peripheries and offers a counterweight to unilateral pressures.

As Putin visits Beijing, the message is clear, that this relationship is not reactive but constitutive of an emerging order. Eurasian consolidation is advancing not despite global headwinds but through them. Putin's Beijing visit is less about immediate headlines than about the quiet, steady forging of a framework that will shape international stability for decades. The deepening ties — measured in trade volumes, energy cooperation, student exchanges, SCO energy platforms and shared security visions — signal a partnership built to endure, benefiting not only the two nations but the broader quest for a balanced, multipolar world.

The author is an adjunct professor at Queensland University of Technology in Australia and former policy adviser to former Australian prime minister Kevin Rudd.?The views do not necessarily reflect those of China Daily.

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