国产热热热精品,亚洲视频久久】日韩,三级婷婷在线久久,99人妻精品视频,精品九热人人肉肉在线,AV东京热一区二区,91po在线视频观看,久久激情宗合,青青草黄色手机视频

USEUROPEAFRICAASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Business
Home / Business / Macro

Slowdown to continue

By He Wei in Shanghai | China Daily | Updated: 2013-07-16 07:13

He believed that the urbanization-driven infrastructure investment is going to be a value-added, smart use of money to bring people to cities and have a decent return in the long run, where the stimulus program only resulted in industry bubbles.

While these types of investment may accelerate in the second half of the year, the aim will probably be to achieve the government's official target, rather than what investors may perceive as market-friendly 8 percent growth, he added.

"Allowing slower growth implies China's economy may be in store for some pain before the situation improves. But it also signifies that officials are increasingly willing to act to rebalance the economy, placing it on a sounder footing in the longer term," he said.

While officials have publicly recognized that China's economy needs to lessen its dependence on investment, there has yet to be tangible success on that front.

Investment's share of GDP rocketed to 48.3 percent in 2011, while household consumption shrank to just 35.4 percent, compared with 50 percent in 1989.

McDonough said that the rising contribution of investment has meant that slower growth is almost a "necessity" if China is to shift toward consumption and the private sector as a major growth engine.

"If we use the 2011 data (which is the most recent available), just to offset a 1 percent decline in China's gross capital formation, household consumption would need to increase by almost 1.5 percent due to its smaller base level," he said.

But the development model has been proven effective. McDonough referred to the "Great Moderation" period in the 1980s, when former US Federal Reserve chairman Paul Volcker increased the federal funds rate to 20 percent to combat extremely high inflation and slow growth. While this pushed the US economy into a deep recession, it succeeded in lowering inflation, leading to a period of reduced volatility and strong growth.

With China's own transition already seemingly under way, near-term risks still exist, though they can probably be manageable. Apart from the outsized credit growth, a slower expansion may be disruptive for China's financial sector.

The recent surge of interbank lending rates has placed pressure on the People's Bank of China to stabilize the sector.

To maintain the 7.5 percent annual growth rate, reforms are likely to accelerate into year-end, McDonough has forecast.

He predicted that officials may soon move closer to interest-rate liberalization by lifting the ceiling on deposit rates, which paves the way for opening the capital account in the medium term.

Previous 1 2 Next

Most Viewed in 24 Hours
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
 
全椒县| 嘉义市| 鄄城县| 许昌县| 无锡市| 灵宝市| 五家渠市| 正镶白旗| 绥棱县| 谷城县| 双城市| 伊春市| 内丘县| 尼勒克县| 凤台县| 贵州省| 拜泉县| 青神县| 郓城县| 西林县| 水富县| 朝阳区| 澎湖县| 耿马| 昌平区| 五寨县| 棋牌| 中西区| 博罗县| 壶关县| 平昌县| 封开县| 通山县| 江源县| 乐山市| 新巴尔虎右旗| 望江县| 页游| 嘉善县| 札达县| 克东县|