国产热热热精品,亚洲视频久久】日韩,三级婷婷在线久久,99人妻精品视频,精品九热人人肉肉在线,AV东京热一区二区,91po在线视频观看,久久激情宗合,青青草黄色手机视频

USEUROPEAFRICAASIA 中文雙語(yǔ)Fran?ais
World
Home / World / Americas

Economists predict uncertain trade outlook in Trump presidency

By Jiang Xueqing | chinadaily.com.cn | Updated: 2016-11-15 19:18

Economists of National Australia Bank Limited said US and Chinese authorities are likely to work out a deal to avoid tariff hikes and trade wars after Donald Trump was elected president of the United States, although they remain concerned about the new president causing problems for trade.

"Trump said he will declare China a currency manipulator on day one of his presidency. In the worst case, that would see America increasing tariffs by at least 15 percent. If that happened, then China would retaliate and you will get into a trade war. I would hope what actually happens would be that the US administration and Chinese authorities get together and work out some sort of deal that doesn't involve tariffs and trade wars," said Alan Oster, National Australia Bank's group chief economist.

If Trump imposed a 45 percent tariff on imports from China as he has pledged, the trade volume between the two countries would fall by 25 to 60 percent, depending on the progress of economic recovery in the US, said Christy Tan, the bank's head of market strategy and research for Asia.

"As his decision on [the] tariff hike is still unclear at the moment, the currency market will fluctuate during the following months, and the renminbi may drop to 7.1 against the US dollar," Tan said.

She forecasts that the Chinese currency will continue to weaken against the US dollar or remain steady, which will be mainly affected by the US Federal Reserve's decision on the interest rate hike in December and Trump's signals on whether he'll declare China a currency manipulator.

Oster said the Fed's reaction likely depends on how volatile the equity and currency markets are in the next few months or so. If the markets are calm, he suspects the Fed would still take action in December. The economists of National Australia Bank forecast a rate rise in December and then two rate rises a year until the Fed gets to the terminal rate of around 2 percent.

Most Viewed in 24 Hours
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
祁连县| 桃园市| 林芝县| 临湘市| 新宁县| 福州市| 尼勒克县| 阿勒泰市| 驻马店市| 霍山县| 奎屯市| 宾川县| 长丰县| 类乌齐县| 周宁县| 柞水县| 嘉兴市| 璧山县| 沽源县| 无棣县| 石林| 东莞市| 定襄县| 封丘县| 民丰县| 德清县| 祁阳县| 高陵县| 乌拉特中旗| 汉沽区| 长岭县| 惠安县| 怀化市| 永平县| 宽甸| 资溪县| 剑河县| 台东县| 新昌县| 九江市| 唐河县|