国产热热热精品,亚洲视频久久】日韩,三级婷婷在线久久,99人妻精品视频,精品九热人人肉肉在线,AV东京热一区二区,91po在线视频观看,久久激情宗合,青青草黄色手机视频

Business / Economy

When less might actually mean more

(China Daily) Updated: 2014-10-28 07:26

A1: During the National People's Congress earlier this year, Premier Li Keqiang set the target of GDP growth at "about 7.5 percent". As the economy expanded 7.4 percent year-on-year in the first three quarters, that target is within reach. There is nothing magical about the 7.5 percent figure. If employment is strong and the government is pressing ahead with reforms agreed at the Third Plenum last year, slower growth could be seen as a positive.

When less might actually mean more

Tom Orlik, North Asia economist for Bloomberg

A2: There is a lot of discussion of a lower growth target for 2015. There are various pressures for slower growth. The working age population is set to shrink. As the world's top exporter, China's room to grow by expanding overseas sales is limited.

Banks are facing risks from rapid expansion of their loan books in the past few years. An unrealistically high target would put pressure on local governments to pump up growth with more capital spending. A modestly lower target, perhaps in the 6.5 to 7 percent range, would allow policymakers to focus more of their efforts on the reform agenda.

A3: A slowdown in China's economy this year was not inevitable. The government could have pumped up growth with another big stimulus. Another splurge in bank lending to finance major infrastructure, industrial projects and luxury apartments would have pushed growth back up toward 8 percent.

But by adding to strains on the banks and concerns about wasteful expenditure, it would also have tipped China's economy further off balance and made it more difficult to sustain growth in the medium term.

What the government has actually done - a targeted stimulus to prevent a sharper slide while focusing on longer-term reforms - makes a lot more sense.

A4: You have to look beyond the headline figures to the distribution of growth.

Supercharged growth looks great, but if all the benefits are going to a few insiders, that is not a good thing.

Slower growth looks bad, but if the benefits are distributed more evenly, there is a positive side to it.

If China can continue pushing ahead with its Third Plenum reforms and raise the share of workers and families in the national wealth, we are still going to see slower growth, but the benefits are going to be shared more widely.

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
...
彰化县| 绿春县| 晋江市| 大同县| 丁青县| 宜丰县| 萨迦县| 永康市| 云龙县| 潞城市| 内乡县| 吉隆县| 东港市| 内黄县| 昌都县| 大同市| 进贤县| 上思县| 秦安县| 津南区| 怀宁县| 丹江口市| 昌江| 金湖县| 应城市| 陆川县| 巫山县| 巴中市| 祥云县| 曲松县| 同心县| 民丰县| 隆尧县| 安平县| 卓资县| 凉城县| 涞水县| 关岭| 克拉玛依市| 恩施市| 巨野县|